Polymarket, a market forecasting firm, has raised its pricing in a 25 basis point rate hike in September to 54%, while interest rate derivatives imply a 63.6% probability. Although there's a difference of about 10 percentage points, the direction is consistent: with resilient employment, rising oil prices pushing up inflation risks, and a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve, a rate hike has moved from a tail risk to a primary trading scenario. However, a 50% probability doesn't mean the Fed can raise rates "without surprises." The market still retains a 36%-47% probability of holding rates steady, and any decision could trigger a repricing. Friday's inflation data will influence the final judgment, and a Reuters poll showed 70% of economists expecting no rate hike this time, reflecting a lack of consensus between institutional forecasts and trading activity.

Germany's final harmonized CPI monthly rate for August was 0.2%, in line with expectations and down from 0.20% previously.

Germany's final August CPI annual rate was 2.9%, in line with expectations and down from 2.90% previously.

Germany's final harmonized CPI annual rate for August was 2.9%, in line with expectations and down from 2.90% previously.

Germany's final August CPI month-on-month rate was 0.2%, in line with expectations and unchanged from the previous month's 0.20%.

Bank of Japan board member Yoichi Masaki: We have emergency market operations as a tool, but this is only used to deal with special fluctuations in the Japanese government bond market.